Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 5.951476 6.537696 7.183582 7.953125 8.851833 9.876723 11.146362
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.270691 6.108215 7.110527 8.421243 10.125882 12.322021 15.462680
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.777830 5.726606 6.924172 8.592053 10.934872 14.248038 19.585126
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.310520 5.286455 6.564622 8.426984 11.197746 15.413274 22.916746
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.989589 4.988037 6.337362 8.382405 11.586697 16.808518 27.076704
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.685330 4.675852 6.047232 8.191208 11.694404 17.742687 30.737408
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.474171 4.470034 5.881200 8.155394 12.031007 19.135619 35.957158
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.290575 4.285786 5.725127 8.108629 12.330161 20.521444 41.903561
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.193237 4.216486 5.731067 8.319118 13.116880 23.098984 52.714076
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.000012 3.991123 5.476926 8.060620 12.976334 23.632137 57.879813
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.821788 3.777232 5.224720 7.778828 12.746291 23.903484 62.456655
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.688333 3.623305 5.056503 7.627327 12.754351 24.757052 70.074814
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.569032 3.493331 4.931976 7.569048 13.007898 26.488472 84.460884
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.548633 3.516867 5.062855 8.002951 14.433237 32.125333 131.525654
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.480120 3.458708 5.050464 8.161245 15.276328 36.570409 190.284082
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.366983 3.321401 4.890856 8.008267 15.335337 38.462777 238.322720
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.281143 3.223410 4.792199 7.966935 15.669890 41.599027 328.159507
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.181931 3.098000 4.636209 7.789572 15.614025 43.213575 417.203968
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.111261 3.016252 4.552734 7.756333 15.945703 46.747720 624.638634
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.044367 2.937312 4.468863 7.712924 16.242889 50.414404 998.874762
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.013784 2.917927 4.492497 7.908244 17.289736 58.917709 2908.480724
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.929550 2.802843 4.330556 7.668348 16.957766 59.528089 4452.361335
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.847578 2.688613 4.164717 7.406524 16.516682 59.280692 6494.636642